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Risk drivers and principal risks

Risk drivers

The Group’s risk language is designed to capture the Group’s principal risks referred to as the ‘primary risk drivers’. A description of each risk, including definition, appetite, control and exposures is included in the detail to this report. These are further broken down into 25 more granular risk types to enable more detailed review and facilitate appropriate reporting and monitoring, as set out below.

Through the Group’s risk management processes these risks are assessed on an ongoing basis to ensure optimisation of risk and reward and that, where required, appropriate mitigation is in place. Both quantitative and qualitative factors are considered in assessing the Group’s current and potential future risks.

Principal risks

At present the most significant risks faced by the Group are:

  • Legal and regulatory risk, reflecting the legal and regulatory environment in which the Group operates and the volume and pace of change from within the UK and the rest of the world. This impacts the Group, both operationally in terms of cost of compliance with uncertainty about legal and regulatory expectations, and strategically through pressure on key earnings streams. The latter could potentially result in changes to business and pricing models, particularly in the UK retail market. Our business planning processes continue to reflect change to the legal and regulatory environment. Major current legal and regulatory reviews and proceedings are described in Divisional results - Regulation. In addition, the Group faces risk where legal proceedings are brought against it. Regardless of whether such claims have merit, the outcome of legal proceedings is inherently uncertain and could result in financial loss.
  • Credit risk, reflecting the risk inherent in our lending businesses. In unsecured retail credit, lending criteria and limits have been tightened further during the year and collections and recoveries processes enhanced. Wholesale credit markets remain volatile and dislocated. This market dislocation is beginning to impact the real economy, where fears of a credit crunch persist. This could result in a significant worsening of the business environment.
  • Market risk arising in Insurance and Investments division and the Group’s pension schemes, reflecting the exposure to a fall in equity markets and the consequent effect upon the value of assets held by either the insurance businesses or in the pension schemes. The value of the pension schemes liabilities is also exposed to changes in real interest rates. Both of these market risks could impact earnings adversely.
  • Insurance risk arising in Insurance and Investments division and the Group’s pension schemes reflecting the exposure to increasing longevity of annuitants and pensioners.

The current dislocation in global capital markets has been the most severe examination of the banking system’s capacity to absorb sudden significant changes in the funding and liquidity environment in recent history and individual institutions have faced varying degrees of stress. Should the Group be unable to continue to source a sustainable funding profile which can absorb these sudden shocks, it could impact its ability to fund its financial obligations or could result in securing them at an excessive cost. Throughout the market dislocation, the Group has maintained a strong liquidity position based on its significant retail and corporate deposit base.